EconViz Dashboard

Crisis

Confidence: 96.2%

Acute stress with extreme volatility and liquidity breakdown. Correlations spike, violent drawdowns, and panic selling. Typically characterized by VIX above 35, sharp equity drops, and flight to cash/treasuries. The regime is determined by a Hidden Markov Model trained on 5 years of rolling data across equity returns (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA), volatility (VIX), dollar strength (DXY), yield curve spreads (2s10s), inflation expectations (5Y breakeven), and jobless claims. The confidence score of 96.2% represents the model's posterior probability of being in the current state.

Equities
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

SPY

745.64

+2.92

+0.39%

IWM

285.12

+2.63

+0.93%

QQQ

717.54

+3.03

+0.42%

DIA

506.12

+3.01

+0.60%

Volatility & FX
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

VIX

16.59

-0.11

-0.66%

DXY

99.24

-0.08

-0.08%

Commodities
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

CRUDE_OIL

91.44

-5.56

-5.73%

GOLD

4546.60

+36.10

+0.80%

SILVER

77.74

+1.82

+2.40%

NATURAL_GAS

3.05

+0.02

+0.56%

COPPER

6.44

+0.06

+0.96%

WHEAT

637.75

-9.25

-1.43%

Macro Indicators
IndicatorValueChange30D Trend

Fed Funds Rate

3.64%

+0 bps

5Y Inflation Exp.

2.54%

-3 bps

Initial Claims

209,000

-3,000

2s10s Spread

0.43%

-6 bps


Economic indicator dashboard using Hidden Markov Models to predict market regime. Click on any asset to see a Monte Carlo simulation that predicts likely price outcomes over the next 30 days.

Built by Raven Clodd