EconViz Dashboard

Crisis

Confidence: 96.2%

Acute stress with extreme volatility and liquidity breakdown. Correlations spike, violent drawdowns, and panic selling. Typically characterized by VIX above 35, sharp equity drops, and flight to cash/treasuries. The regime is determined by a Hidden Markov Model trained on 5 years of rolling data across equity returns (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA), volatility (VIX), dollar strength (DXY), yield curve spreads (2s10s), inflation expectations (5Y breakeven), and jobless claims. The confidence score of 96.2% represents the model's posterior probability of being in the current state.

Equities
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

SPY

738.93

+0.75

+0.10%

IWM

291.17

-0.92

-0.31%

QQQ

684.23

-7.73

-1.12%

DIA

518.76

+2.50

+0.48%

Volatility & FX
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

VIX

18.58

-0.12

-0.64%

DXY

101.46

+0.10

+0.09%

Commodities
TickerPriceChangeChange %30D Trend

CRUDE_OIL

90.47

-1.70

-1.84%

GOLD

4055.70

+8.90

+0.22%

SILVER

58.49

+0.69

+1.19%

NATURAL_GAS

2.91

-0.01

-0.21%

COPPER

6.34

+0.00

+0.02%

WHEAT

679.00

-19.00

-2.72%

Macro Indicators
IndicatorValueChange30D Trend

Fed Funds Rate

3.63%

+0 bps

5Y Inflation Exp.

2.52%

-2 bps

Initial Claims

215,000

+6,000

2s10s Spread

0.41%

-1 bps


Economic indicator dashboard using Hidden Markov Models to predict market regime. Click on any asset to see a Monte Carlo simulation that predicts likely price outcomes over the next 30 days.

Built by Raven Clodd